TA Market Recap

Week ending 5/16/2025

Table of Contents

Market Snapshot

S&P 500 Heatmap Last Week

Market Highlights

  • Indices closed higher last week

  • Tech continues to lead the way off of the YTD lows

  • SPX, NDX, DJI all turned green YTD last week

Index

Last Week

YTD

S&P 500 (SPX)

+5.27%

+1.30%

Nasdaq 100 (NDX)

+6.98%

+1.98%

Russell 2000 (RUT)

+4.46

-5.24%

Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI)

+3.41%

+0.26%

Best/Worst S&P 500 Equities Last Week

Best

Ticker

Last Week

YTD

$SMCI

+44.26%

+51.41%

$COIN

+33.68%

+7.31%

$NRG

+33.41%

+76.46%

$FSLR

+26.86%

+1.26%

$DELL

+19.06%

-0.91%

Worst

Ticker

Last Week

YTD

$UNH

-23.31%

-42.29%

$FI

-9.46%

-18.87%

$HSY

-7.26%

-6.41%

$NEM

-7.19%

+34.61%

$CVS

-6.63%

+39.30%

Sector Performance Last Week

*For a full breakdown of sector performance, our clients receive in-depth analysis within our weekly Sector Rotation Report

Technical Analysis Brief

Each week, we review the S&P 500 (in order to provide a consistent, technical narrative for the overall market), as well as a select equity and an asset from the broader market.

S&P 500: $SPX | daily

Incredible move within this chart since we noted the ~4,800 pivot support test around the April lows — now only 3% off of ATHs. Big reclaim of the 5,970-5,990 pivot level that we have been monitoring. Back over all major MAs here, as well. Approaching some short term overbought levels here — if we see any pullback from here, the main levels of support that we are monitoring are the MAs below.

eBay Inc: $EBAY | daily

Strong continuation within this chart since we shared our chart alert with clients on the downtrend resistance breakout. Attempting a pivot breakout here over ~$71.50, this chart looks great here.

Gold | daily

Starting to see some weakness within this chart shorter term. Slipping below the rising 20 day MA and now testing the rising 50 day MA and pivot support around ~$3,150. That pivot level is the main risk level we are monitoring here — if broken, we could see follow through into ~$2,950 and the long term rising support below.

*For updated analysis on the financial markets, our clients receive in-depth analysis DAILY within our weekly Market Analysis Report

TA Capital Research Performance

We continue to help our clients successfully navigate this volatile market in 2025. Below are our model portfolios, and the YTD performance for each:

In addition to our Model Portfolio and consistent Research Reports, we provide our clients with daily Premium Watchlists — as well as chart alerts when these setups breakout.

Attached is the YTD performance of our Premium Watchlist Chart Alerts through March 2025.

* Chart alerts are considered “live” for 4-weeks after the initial alert

Key Takeaways:

  • Outperforming the S&P 500 by an average of 15.42% per month

  • Net profit of ~1,800% on the year

  • 70.87% of our alerts have provided a 5%+ move higher

  • 50.39% of our alerts have provided a 10%+ move higher

If you are interested in trying TA Capital Research for free, we would love the opportunity to work with you! You can visit TACapitalResearch.com/Plans to start your free trial.

The information and analysis provided in this report are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or a recommendation for any specific investment strategy, product, or service. Past performance is not indicative of future results, and all investments carry risks, including the potential loss of principal. TA Capital Research makes no representations or warranties regarding the accuracy or completeness of the information presented and does not assume any responsibility for any decisions made based on this report.

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