TA Market Recap

Week ending 7/11/2025

Table of Contents

Market Snapshot

S&P 500 Heatmap Last Week

Market Highlights

  • New ATHs for SPX and NDX

  • RUT flipped green YTD

  • DJI consolidating below ATHs

Index

Last Week

YTD

S&P 500 (SPX)

-0.31%

+6.43%

Nasdaq 100 (NDX)

-0.38%

+8.42%

Russell 2000 (RUT)

-0.63%

+0.21%

Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI)

-1.02%

+4.30%

Best/Worst S&P 500 Equities Last Week

Best

Ticker

Last Week

YTD

$DAL

+11.38%

-6.36%

$MRNA

+10.33%

-19.10%

$PTC

+9.36%

+5.24%

$AES

+9.29%

-2.18%

$TPR

+9.12%

+50.67%

Worst

Ticker

Last Week

YTD

$FICO

-16.77%

-22.44%

$FSLR

-12.21%

-7.83%

$DDOG

-11.46%

-3.86%

$ADSK

-11.45%

-5.14%

$NOW

-10.14%

-11.45%

Sector Performance Last Week

*For a full breakdown of sector performance, our clients receive in-depth analysis within our weekly Sector Rotation Report. View our latest report HERE

Technical Analysis Brief

Each week, we review the S&P 500 (in order to provide a consistent, technical narrative for the overall market), as well as a select equity and an asset from the broader market.

S&P 500: $SPX | daily

New ATHs last week, and slowly grinding higher since we noted the 6,130-6,150 pivot breakout. On any pullback, that pivot level below becomes current support — as well as the MAs below acting as trend support.

MicroStrategy Incorporated: $MSTR | daily

We shared our chart alert with clients (and entered long) on the downtrend resistance breakout recently, and this chart is threatening some strong momentum higher. If the breakout over ~$425 can hold, we could see follow through into $500+.

Bitcoin | daily

Strong move for this chart last week, and we had been noting the consolidation over the channel resistance with clients. New ATHs last week, and we remain risk-on here.

*For updated analysis on the financial markets, our clients receive in-depth analysis DAILY within our TA Market Prep. View our latest report HERE

TA Capital Research Performance

We continue to help our clients successfully navigate this volatile market in 2025. Below is the YTD performance for each of our model portfolios:

Our model portfolios continue to help our clients successfully navigate the market — 3 out of 5 model portfolios in the double-digits YTD. Our TA Growth and TA Alpha model portfolios continue to lead the way, roughly tripling the S&P 500.

In addition to our Model Portfolio and consistent Research Reports, we provide our clients with daily Premium Watchlists — as well as chart alerts when these setups breakout.

Attached is the YTD performance of our Premium Watchlist Chart Alerts through May 2025.

* Chart alerts are considered “live” for 4-weeks after the initial alert

Key Takeaways:

  • Outperforming the S&P 500 by an average of ~14% per month

  • Net profit of 2,597.07% on the year

  • 73.48% of our alerts have provided a 5%+ move higher

  • 54.14% of our alerts have provided a 10%+ move higher

If you are interested in trying TA Capital Research for free, we would love the opportunity to work with you! You can start your free trial HERE

The information and analysis provided in this report are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or a recommendation for any specific investment strategy, product, or service. Past performance is not indicative of future results, and all investments carry risks, including the potential loss of principal. TA Capital Research makes no representations or warranties regarding the accuracy or completeness of the information presented and does not assume any responsibility for any decisions made based on this report.

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